Despite
the current market turbulence sparked by geopolitical tensions and
tariff-related headlines, smart investors are keeping their eyes on long-term
opportunities—and Sneha Poddar, AVP and research analyst at Motilal Oswal
Financial Services, has some compelling picks worth watching.
Poddar recommends a basket of five high-conviction
stocks ideal for long-term portfolios, even as the India VIX surges and Nifty
50 stumbles. Her mantra? Focus on fundamentals, not the noise.
Let’s dive into the top stock ideas:
1. ICICI Bank: Steady Growth with a Tech Edge
ICICI Bank continues to shine with strong loan
book growth—posting a 17% CAGR between FY22 and FY24—driven by robust traction
in retail loans and business banking. The bank’s edge lies in its use of
analytics to streamline customer acquisition and risk profiling.
- Strong asset quality:
Provision coverage ratio of nearly 79%, plus a ₹13,100 crore contingency
buffer.
- Digital-led growth: Despite
a dip in CASA ratio to 40.5%, deposit growth is outpacing peers.
- Profitability outlook:
Return on Assets (RoA) and Return on Equity (RoE) are projected at 2.2%
and 17%, respectively, by FY27.
Poddar believes ICICI Bank’s combination of loan
momentum, digital innovation, and disciplined cost management makes it a solid
long-term bet.
2. Shriram Finance: Diversification Driving
Resilience
Shriram Finance is building on its reputation as
a consistent performer across economic cycles. The company’s well-diversified
loan book and strong execution capabilities set it apart in the NBFC space.
- Lending muscle: FY25 Q4
disbursements are expected at ₹45,300 crore, with AUM climbing to ₹2.65
lakh crore.
- Synergy from merger: The
expanded distribution network opens doors to cross-sell more products.
- Growth forecast: 18% AUM
CAGR and 19% PAT CAGR projected over FY24–27.
Lower borrowing costs and stable credit quality
position Shriram Finance well to ride out cyclical risks and accelerate
profitability.
3. Varun Beverages: More Than Just a Summer
Stock
Even with temporary headwinds like weather and
weak consumption, Varun Beverages delivered impressive volume growth—12% in
India and 23% globally. The company is also foraying into the fast-growing
food-snacking segment.
- Strong Q1 outlook: 29%
volume growth expected, with stable margins.
- Rural play: Investments in
rural cooling infrastructure and wider distribution are paying off.
- CAGR estimates: Revenue,
EBITDA, and PAT are expected to grow at 18%, 16%, and 27% respectively
from CY24 to CY26.
According to Poddar, the recent correction offers
a sweet entry point for long-term investors.
4. Indian Hotels Company: Hospitality on a High
The hospitality major is riding a wave of strong
demand from weddings, tourism, and MICE (meetings, incentives, conferences, and
exhibitions). Indian Hotels is doubling down on its growth strategy with new
properties in spiritual hubs like Ayodhya and Hampi.
- Robust growth ahead: FY25
revenue, EBITDA, and PAT are expected to grow by 31%, 34%, and 26%,
respectively.
- Q4FY25 forecast: 28%
revenue growth with an impressive 35.1% EBITDA margin.
- Strategic expansion: Over
2,800 rooms in the pipeline to meet surging demand.
Poddar believes the company's pricing power and
market leadership make it a compelling hospitality play.
5. Castrol India: Shifting Gears with
Innovation
Castrol is capitalizing on lower crude prices and
strong brand positioning. Its latest tech centre in Patalganga is a step
towards future-proofing through EV and data centre lubricant solutions.
- Profitability on track:
EBITDA margins are projected at 23% for CY25 and CY26.
- Demand drivers: Low car
penetration and industrial lubricant needs in India offer long-term growth
opportunities.
- Strategic focus: Brand
building, new products, and expanding distribution are key levers.
Castrol’s innovation-first approach and market
dominance make it an attractive low-risk, high-potential stock.
Final Takeaway
Amid market volatility, these five stocks offer
solid fundamentals, resilient business models, and strong future growth
trajectories. As Sneha Poddar suggests, this could be the perfect time to
accumulate quality stocks and ride out the storm with a long-term view.
